Saturday, July 29, 2006

Bad things could happen still:

Boy, the Bush/B-liar press conference yesterday was a real tour de farce, wasn't it? We want the fighting to end, but not before we have a comprehensive Middle East deal. Meanwhile, Israel gets to continue bombing he hell out of Lebanon. Supossedly, on Monday the US will be able to work out of deal with the rest of the international community on a plan to deploy a multinational force to keep Hezbollah from attacking Israel and in this fantasy world of puppies and flowers Hezbollah will just give up its arms and go away.

So, all you Lebanese folks down in the south just hold on and drink your puddle water and listen to the reassering words of poodle B-lair:

"Of course the U.N. resolution, the passing of it, the agreeing of it, can be the occasion for the end of hostilities if it's acted upon, and agreed upon. And that requires not just the government of Israel and the government of Lebanon, obviously, to abide by it, but also for the whole of the international community to exert the necessary pressure so that there is the cessation of hostilities on both sides." [WaPo]

This assumes, of course, that all of this can be accomplished without having to talk to Syria or Iran. Relying on the Saudis to pressure the Syrians doesn't like a winning plan. And what happens if Israel decides to attack Syria before all this can be worked out? If a Hezbollah rocket were to hit too close to Tel Aviv there's no telling what Israel might do. As david Gardner pointed out in the FT yesterday, "Under a weak government that defers to an army command with its pride wounded and worried about the erosion of its deterrent power, the urge to retaliate against Hizbollah's patrons and suppliers in Syria and Iran would surely be very high." Something tells me Israel isn't callign up from 15,000 to 40,000 reserves for another try at Beit Jbail.

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